Now that Prime Minister Boris Johnson has won the United Kingdom elections by a landslide, Brexit seems like a sure thing. However, the initial act of removing Britain from the European Union is only the first in a multi-act play — the details of the divorce are still vague and likely will take years to work out. The Trump administration is anxiously lining up to be the first to negotiate a trade deal with a new Britain, once it is unshackled from the EU.  

Chris Taylor of the New Democrat Network has written a concise analysis of the "Phase 1" China deal announced by the White House.  The details of the IPR commitments have not been announced yet, and there have been numerous other such commitments that China has made and broken over the years.

The American Leadership Initiative welcomes the newly revised and concluded US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) as an accomplishment that modernizes the original North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in important ways. The agreement has new language that protects the U.S. economy, workers and the environment, and sets new rules governing such matters as digital trade and labor law.

The most significant trade issue currently facing Congress is the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement. USMCA will be an important step to reasserting American leadership and supporting U.S. competitiveness. A key issue in the agreement under discussion between the Administration and members of the House, are the provisions governing labor rights. 

ALI Advisory Board member, Paula Stern, has written a piece discussing the importance of Congress reasserting itself on trade issues, during a time of Executive overreach. Restoring a system of checks regarding trade policy, as was envisioned by the Constitution, is critical to developing policies that are more inclusive, balanced and reflective of the priorities needed to restore American Leadership in the 21st century.

Nelson Cunningham (ALI Advisory Board member) and David Beier discuss the importance of the U.S. taking the lead in setting global standards for Artificial Intelligence (AI). He frames this priority in terms that ALI has explored in the digital space—whose rules will shape the future of AI- the liberal Western view or the Chinese authoritarian view?

The U.S.-China relationship is one of the key challenges facing America today. The current Administration has pursued a trade war that is quickly moving towards a cold war and economic disengagement that undermines American interests.

President Donald Trump’s tariffs-by-tweet tendencies and brinkmanship on both sides of the negotiating table have led to a breakdown in talks with China, an escalating trade war, and no doubt many sleepless nights in Beijing and in American boardrooms. But for the United States, the unease is misdirected. 

Rapid technological advancement and an increasingly interconnected global economy are fundamentally changing the landscape in which U.S. businesses and workers must compete. For workers to succeed in tomorrow’s economy, we must ensure they have the tools and support they need to transition and adapt. But unlike many of our foreign competitors, the United States had no strategic plan for managing this economic transition, much less one for winning the future.

Over the past couple of years, Latin America has been torn apart by the largest global corruption scandal in modern history. Its web of bribes spread across four continents and at least 12 countries -- implicating the highest levels of government in some and prompting the biggest fine, $3.5 billion, ever levied by the U.S. Department of Justice.

Even before the explosion of trade-related news generated by President Donald Trump’s election, there were calls for reform in the World Trade Organization. 

Two main issues face the organization: the challenge to market economy principles and practices from an ascendant China, as well as increasing populist, protectionist and isolationist pressures around the world, including in the United States (1) .

Melanie Hart and Kelly Magsamen at the Center for American Progress have written a compelling piece on how the U.S. should approach its relationship with China, which aligns with many of ALI's China policy recommendations. Their piece has three components- Limit, Leverage and Compete.

America is facing a significant skills shortage with nearly seven million job openings, many of which are middle class jobs, and not enough Americans with the right skills to fill those jobs. A majority of these job openings require training beyond high school but not a college degree, a trend that is expected to continue in the decades ahead.

One of ALI’s key policy pillars is that U.S. global policies should lead to inclusive and sustainable trade at home and abroad. Tariffs are a regressive tax that hit the poorest American consumers the hardest. At the same time, the highest tariffs U.S. are typically on textiles and agriculture products, which tend to be the main exports of the world’s poorest countries. The current penchant for increasing tariffs disproportionally hits disadvantaged groups both at home and abroad.

Robert M. Perito and Ambassador Donald J. Planty recently published a new report on United States rule of law assistance, entitled Frontier Justice” A New Approach to U.S. Rule of Law Assistance. The report is focused on U.S. aid to three categories of states in crisis that are important to U.S. national security interests: (1) the northern-tier states of Central America—Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras—that are experiencing extreme levels of organized criminal violence;

North America faces an alarming skills gap that will negatively affect the economic performance an competitiveness of the United States, Canada and Mexico, as they prepare to embark on the United States, Mexico and Canada Agreement (USMCA). Simultaneously, all the countries are facing rapid  economic and technological transformations. This set of challenges calls for priority investment in the development of the continent's workforces.